Paul Thomas Anderson secures a DGA win, signaling a major boost for his latest film at the Academy Awards.

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Paul Thomas Anderson Wins
Does a trophy in Beverly Hills on a Saturday night guarantee an Oscar in March?
In the world of Hollywood awards campaigning, the Directors Guild of America (DGA) Awards isn’t just another stop on the circuit—it is the definitive prophecy.
At the 78th annual ceremony, Paul Thomas Anderson (PTA) stood at the podium, clutching the top honor for One Battle After Another.
While the applause was deafening, the subtext was even louder: PTA is now the overwhelming favorite to claim his long-awaited Academy Award.
The Emotional Core of “One Battle After Another”
Paul Thomas Anderson’s victory for Outstanding Directorial Achievement in Theatrical Feature Film felt like a career-defining moment.
Yet, PTA used his time in the spotlight to look backward rather than inward. In a poignant tribute that hushed the Beverly Hills crowd, he honored his late assistant director, Adam Somner.
“He made us feel safe,” Anderson remarked, highlighting a fundamental truth often ignored by critics: a director’s greatest skill isn’t just vision, but the ability to create a secure environment for their team.
This victory doesn’t just celebrate a film; it celebrates a legacy of collaborative excellence that Somner helped build.
The Statistical Reality of the DGA
History tells us to bet on the DGA winner. The Guild has accurately predicted the Academy Award for Best Director in all but eight instances throughout its history.
While film buffs still whisper about the 2019 upset—where Sam Mendes won the DGA, but Bong Joon Ho took the Oscar for Parasite—the trend remains ironclad.
Last year, Sean Baker’s DGA win for Anora paved a golden road to four Oscars. For PTA, this isn’t just a win; it is a statistical shield against its competitors.
Television’s New Titans
The evening also signaled a shift in the television hierarchy.
- The Comedy Kings: Seth Rogen and Evan Goldberg continued their dominant run, winning for The Studio episode “The Oner.” Fresh off an Emmy win, the duo dedicated their victory to the late Catherine O’Hara.
- Dramatic Depth: Amanda Marsalis clinched the Dramatic Series prize for The Pitt, specifically for the tense episode “6:00pm.”
- The Anniversary Effect: Liz Patrick took home the Variety award for SNL50: The Anniversary Special, a win that acknowledges the immense logistical hurdle of managing five decades of live comedy history.
Stop Assuming the “Best Director” is the Only One in the Room
Common wisdom often portrays the director as a dictatorial figure, but this year’s DGA awards shattered that “Auteur” myth. The recurring theme of the night was loss and gratitude—from PTA’s nod to his AD to Rogen’s tribute to O’Hara.
If you want to understand why these directors won, don’t just look at the camera angles. Look at how they managed their humans. Directing in 2026 has become as much about emotional intelligence as it is about visual flair.
As the industry pivots toward the Academy Awards, the message from the DGA is clear: Paul Thomas Anderson has the momentum, the movie, and the guild’s blessing. The “battle” may be “one after another,” but the Oscar war might already be won.
Summary of Key Takeaways:
- The PTA Surge: One Battle After Another is now the frontrunner for Best Director and Best Picture.
- Reliable Predictor: The DGA remains the most accurate forecast for Oscar success.
- TV Dominance: The Studio and The Pitt have cemented their status as the gold standards of current television direction.

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